Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003426 0.003822 0.004235 0.004697 0.005197 0.005723 0.006316
2024-10-13 0.002906 0.003479 0.004109 0.004849 0.005692 0.006618 0.007708
2024-10-20 0.002440 0.003084 0.003821 0.004720 0.005780 0.006982 0.008439
2024-10-27 0.002144 0.002839 0.003661 0.004695 0.005949 0.007408 0.009221
2024-11-03 0.001886 0.002606 0.003486 0.004623 0.006038 0.007721 0.009856
2024-11-10 0.001699 0.002441 0.003374 0.004610 0.006183 0.008091 0.010553
2024-11-17 0.001528 0.002279 0.003250 0.004567 0.006277 0.008390 0.011162
2024-11-24 0.001438 0.002217 0.003247 0.004673 0.006557 0.008919 0.012061
2024-12-01 0.001279 0.002046 0.003086 0.004558 0.006541 0.009068 0.012477
2024-12-08 0.001176 0.001944 0.003011 0.004551 0.006659 0.009385 0.013108
2024-12-15 0.001140 0.001937 0.003065 0.004718 0.007011 0.010011 0.014148
2024-12-22 0.001076 0.001882 0.003046 0.004780 0.007221 0.010451 0.014951
2024-12-29 0.001035 0.001861 0.003078 0.004920 0.007546 0.011058 0.015998
2025-01-05 0.001001 0.001850 0.003122 0.005077 0.007898 0.011710 0.017119
2025-01-12 0.000895 0.001714 0.002972 0.004943 0.007834 0.011793 0.017473
2025-01-19 0.000826 0.001632 0.002899 0.004917 0.007919 0.012077 0.018101
2025-01-26 0.000751 0.001536 0.002798 0.004843 0.007929 0.012254 0.018583
2025-02-02 0.000697 0.001470 0.002739 0.004829 0.008026 0.012551 0.019232
2025-02-09 0.000640 0.001396 0.002663 0.004784 0.008072 0.012776 0.019781
2025-02-16 0.000618 0.001383 0.002685 0.004894 0.008351 0.013337 0.020812
2025-02-23 0.000556 0.001289 0.002568 0.004775 0.008279 0.013388 0.021119
2025-03-02 0.000518 0.001239 0.002521 0.004767 0.008375 0.013684 0.021777
2025-03-09 0.000513 0.001252 0.002584 0.004940 0.008754 0.014400 0.023050